Repay or invest?

Overpay the mortgage or fund the portfolio?

Both paths run to the same date and are measured by net worth — including tax on capital gains and what frees up once the loan is gone.

%
%
years
Investment type

The model keeps the interest rate constant. Overpayment limits, the end of the fixed-rate period and prepayment penalties are not modelled.

Invest is ahead by €29,844.00 after 20 years.

Investing pays off from a gross return of 4.5%.

Advantage

€29,844.00

Break-even return

4.5%

Debt-free earlier by

8.6 years

Net worth of both paths at the comparison date
PathPortfolio after taxRemaining debtNet worthDebt-free after
Repay€4,045.58€0.00€4,045.5819.8 years
Invest€137,442.74€103,553.17€33,889.5728.4 years

The investing path incurs €14,818.17 of tax on capital gains. Repaying faster saves €35,582.31 of interest over the period — tax-free.

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Why comparing percentages misleads

Return above interest rate is not a complete answer

Three effects flip the result once you actually calculate it.

Saved interest is tax-free

Interest you avoid is a certain after-tax return. Capital gains are taxed at 26.375%, so the gross return has to sit noticeably above the loan rate just to keep up.

Different bases

Loan interest applies to a shrinking balance, investment return to a growing portfolio. Comparing only the percentages compares two different amounts.

Certainty has value

The interest saving is guaranteed, the return is not. If your budget is tight or your fixed-rate period ends soon, repaying buys planning certainty that no pure number comparison shows.

Frequently asked

Repaying versus investing

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